The Dollar’s Decline Will Boost the Profits of These 10 Companies

The U.S. dollar is down 10% since January.

That’s the worst performance it’s had since 2010…

At that time, we were just recovering from the great financial crisis of 2008. To stabilize the market, the U.S. Federal Reserve flooded the market with dollars.

And now, the dollar is behaving exactly as it did back then.

The latest strong-dollar trend had been in place since mid-2011…

After peaking on January 3, the U.S. Dollar Index has fallen from $104 to below $93. That 10% drop is a very large move for a currency. (See the chart below.)

Yet this decline seems to have escaped the attention of the media.

That’s a shame… because the dollar might be the most important thing for U.S. investors to watch.

A change in the dollar affects the price of everything else—from the food you buy in a grocery store… to the gas you put in your car… to the stocks you hold in your portfolio.

In today’s essay, I’m going to show you how to use a weaker dollar to profit in the stock market.

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How a Weak Dollar Affects Corporate Profits

A weak dollar can boost the bottom line of U.S. companies that do most of their business abroad. And that’s good news for shareholders.

Let me explain…

Say a U.S. company does a lot of business in Europe. And in each of the past two years, the company’s profits were 100 million euros.

  • In Year 1, the dollar was strong relative to the euro ($1.05 bought 1 euro).

  • In Year 2, the dollar was weak relative to the euro ($1.15 bought 1 euro).

The magic happens when euros are converted into dollars.

Although the euro profits were the same in both years, the profits in dollars changed. See the table below:

  Year 1: Stronger Dollar Year 2: Weaker Dollar
Profits in euros €100 million €100 million
Dollars per euro $1.05 $1.15
Profits in dollars $105 million $115 million

So even though the company’s euro profits remained the same, it made more dollars the second year simply because the exchange rates changed.

As the dollar slides, U.S. multinationals will make bigger profits… and increased returns for investors in these companies.

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How to Profit From the Weak Dollar

With earnings season in full swing, look for large U.S. companies that make profits overseas and are about to report earnings.

And it doesn’t matter what the dollar does between now and the time they report. That’s because the quarter is already over for these companies.

Below is a list of major U.S. multinationals that are about to report earnings:

Company Ticker Foreign Revenue % Earnings Report Date
Applied Materials AMAT 89% 8/17
Nvidia NVDA 82% 8/10
International Flavors & Fragrances IFF 75% 8/8
AES Corp. AES 77% 8/8
Agilent Technologies A 66% 8/15
Expeditors International of Washington EXPD 72% 8/8
Keysight Technologies KEYS 65% 8/17
Autodesk ADSK 63% 8/24
Tiffany & Co. TIF 54% 8/24
Sealed Air SEE 58% 8/8

If you’re looking for a way to play the weaker dollar, you can start your research with this list.

There might be a nice surprise in their bottom lines.

Regards,

Nick Rokke, CFA
Analyst, The Palm Beach Daily

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MARKET BRIEFS

The Future Is Bitcoin: Bitcoin continues its push into the mainstream. The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) is the largest options exchange in the U.S. Last week, the CBOE announced plans to launch bitcoin derivatives by early next year. The bitcoin exchange is still pending review from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Once it’s reviewed, the exchange will be open to institutional and retail investors. This follows news that the CFTC has approved the first-ever exchange license to a bitcoin options service. We told you why this is so bullish for bitcoin

Cryptocurrency Index Heats Up: As the CBOE was making its announcement, there was even bigger news last week… CBOE Holdings and Gemini Trust have entered a multiyear exclusive global licensing agreement. The deal allows CBOE and its affiliates to use Gemini’s market data to create bitcoin derivatives and indexes. Gemini Trust is the digital currency exchange founded by brothers Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss.

Warehouse Building Boom: Last Wednesday, Amazon announced it had opened 10 warehouses around the country to job candidates as part of a massive hiring effort. It received a staggering 20,000 applications. Regular Daily readers know this trend already. We told you last month warehouses are the hottest retail market in the country… and we included some ways you can play this trend

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT…

A year ago, a financial research firm near Miami, Florida, made an unlikely prediction: Underdog candidate Donald Trump would win the 2016 election.

But now, one of this firm’s economists is issuing an even more shocking prediction about Trump’s presidency…

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